Market Letter Track Record | |
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The Market Letter combines the readings from three market timing models to generate an intermediate term 'Market Posture'. This market posture is either Bullish(Buy) or Bearish(Sell). The cornerstone of the Market Letter is the 'Cyclical Trend Index' or CTI. CTI uses cyclical analysis to generate its Buy/Sell signals. When CTI is +1 or greater a 'Buy' signal is generated. A CTI of 0 or less generates a 'Sell' signal. The two other models, the Momentum Index and the Sentiment Index, are used to provide confirmation of the CTI signal. While past performance is no guarantee of future results, the following is the result obtained using these signals.
SUMMARY OF MARKET LETTER BUY/SELL SIGNALS
TOTAL NUMBER OF : 150
NUMBER OF PROFITABLE SIGNALS: 115
NUMBER OF LOSING SIGNALS: 35
ACCURACY PERCENTAGE: 76.7%
TOTAL POINTS GAINED WINNING SIGNALS: 33706.34
TOTAL POINTS LOST LOSING SIGNALS: -14993.48
NET TOTAL POINTS (GAINED/LOST) CTI: 18712.86
NET TOTAL POINTS (GAINED/LOST) DJIA: 12188.59
CTI VERSUS DJIA RATIO: 1.54
AVERAGE POINTS GAINED PER WINNING SIGNAL: 293.10
AVERAGE POINTS LOSS PER LOSING SIGNAL: -428.39
TOTAL % (GAINED/LOSS) CTI: 3009%
TOTAL % (GAINED/LOSS) DJIA: 1960%
AVERAGE SIGNALS PER YEAR: 4.1
TOTAL PERCENTAGE GAINED WINNING SIGNALS: 843.41%
TOTAL PERCENTAGE LOST LOSING SIGNALS: -178.07%
AVERAGE PERCENTAGE GAINED PER WINNING SIGNAL: 7.33%
AVERAGE PERCENTAGE LOSS PER LOSING SIGNAL: -5.09%
ANNUAL PERCENTAGE GAIN: 18.24%
DETAILS
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OPEN BUY OPEN CLOSE CLOSE GAIN % GAIN
DATE SELL DJIA CTI DATE CTI DJIA LOSS LOSS
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27-SEP-74 BUY 621.95 +03 11-JUL-75 -06 871.09 249.14 40.06%
11-JUL-75 SELL 871.09 -06 01-AUG-75 +13 826.50 44.59 5.12%
01-AUG-75 BUY 826.50 +13 12-MAR-76 -01 987.64 161.14 19.50%
12-MAR-76 SELL 987.64 -01 02-APR-76 +09 991.58 (3.94) -0.40%
02-APR-76 BUY 991.58 +09 07-MAY-76 -03 996.22 4.64 0.47%
07-MAY-76 SELL 996.22 -03 04-JUN-76 +12 963.90 32.32 3.24%
04-JUN-76 BUY 963.90 +12 24-SEP-76 -03 1009.31 45.41 4.71%
24-SEP-76 SELL 1009.31 -03 15-OCT-76 +12 937.00 72.31 7.16%
15-OCT-76 BUY 937.00 +12 12-AUG-77 -03 871.10 (65.90) -7.03%
12-AUG-77 SELL 871.10 -03 14-OCT-77 +14 821.64 49.46 5.68%
14-OCT-77 BUY 821.64 +14 25-NOV-77 -05 844.42 22.78 2.77%
25-NOV-77 SELL 844.42 -05 10-MAR-78 +21 758.58 85.84 10.17%
10-MAR-78 BUY 758.58 +21 13-OCT-78 -00 897.09 138.51 18.26%
13-OCT-78 SELL 897.09 -00 10-NOV-78 +08 807.09 90.00 10.03%
10-NOV-78 BUY 807.09 +08 25-MAY-79 -00 836.28 29.19 3.62%
25-MAY-79 SELL 836.28 -00 06-JUL-79 +02 846.19 (9.91) -1.19%
06-JUL-79 BUY 846.19 +02 05-OCT-79 -03 897.61 51.42 6.08%
05-OCT-79 SELL 897.61 -03 26-OCT-79 +06 809.30 88.31 9.84%
26-OCT-79 BUY 809.30 +06 08-FEB-80 -00 895.73 86.43 10.68%
08-FEB-80 SELL 895.73 -00 03-APR-80 +19 784.13 111.60 12.46%
03-APR-80 BUY 784.13 +19 21-NOV-80 -00 989.93 205.80 26.25%
21-NOV-80 SELL 989.93 -00 19-DEC-80 +02 937.20 52.73 5.33%
19-DEC-80 BUY 937.20 +02 06-MAR-81 -04 964.62 27.42 2.93%
06-MAR-81 SELL 964.62 -04 22-MAY-81 +08 971.72 (7.10) -0.74%
22-MAY-81 BUY 971.72 +08 12-JUN-81 -05 1006.28 34.56 3.56%
12-JUN-81 SELL 1006.28 -05 09-OCT-81 +15 873.00 133.28 13.24%
09-OCT-81 BUY 873.00 +15 18-DEC-81 -00 875.76 2.76 0.32%
18-DEC-81 SELL 875.76 -00 19-MAR-82 +13 805.65 70.11 8.01%
19-MAR-82 BUY 805.65 +13 07-MAY-82 -00 869.20 63.55 7.89%
07-MAY-82 SELL 869.20 -00 20-AUG-82 +21 869.29 (0.09) -0.01%
20-AUG-82 BUY 869.29 +21 25-FEB-83 -00 1120.94 251.65 28.95%
25-FEB-83 SELL 1120.94 -00 15-APR-83 +20 1171.34 (50.40) -4.50%
15-APR-83 BUY 1171.34 +20 01-JUL-83 -03 1225.26 53.92 4.60%
01-JUL-83 SELL 1225.26 -03 19-AUG-83 +14 1194.21 31.05 2.53%
19-AUG-83 BUY 1194.21 +14 14-OCT-83 -03 1263.52 69.31 5.80%
14-OCT-83 SELL 1263.52 -03 02-MAR-84 +14 1171.48 92.00 7.28%
02-MAR-84 BUY 1171.48 +14 04-MAY-84 -00 1165.31 (6.17) -0.53%
04-MAY-84 SELL 1165.31 -00 03-AUG-84 +20 1202.08 (36.77) -3.16%
03-AUG-84 BUY 1202.08 +20 09-NOV-84 -04 1218.96 16.88 1.40%
09-NOV-84 SELL 1218.96 -04 21-DEC-84 +17 1198.98 19.98 1.64%
21-DEC-84 BUY 1198.98 +17 01-MAR-85 -02 1299.35 100.37 8.37%
01-MAR-85 SELL 1299.35 -02 10-MAY-85 +14 1274.18 25.17 1.94%
10-MAY-85 BUY 1274.18 +14 12-JUL-85 -00 1338.60 64.42 5.06%
12-JUL-85 SELL 1338.60 -00 27-SEP-85 +09 1320.79 17.81 1.33%
27-SEP-85 BUY 1320.79 +09 18-OCT-85 -02 1368.83 48.04 3.64%
18-OCT-85 SELL 1368.83 -02 31-JAN-86 +03 1570.99 (202.16)-14.77%
31-JAN-86 BUY 1570.99 +03 19-MAR-86 -01 1821.72 250.73 15.96%
19-MAR-86 SELL 1821.72 -01 30-MAY-86 +02 1876.71 (54.99) -3.02%
30-MAY-86 BUY 1876.71 +02 20-JUN-86 -00 1879.54 2.83 0.15%
20-JUN-86 SELL 1879.54 -00 19-SPT-86 +15 1762.65 116.89 6.22%
19-SEP-86 BUY 1762.65 +15 13-MAR-87 -00 2258.66 496.01 28.14%
13-MAR-87 SELL 2258.66 -00 29-MAY-87 +14 2291.57 (32.91) -1.46%
29-MAY-87 BUY 2291.57 +14 21-AUG-87 -04 2709.50 417.93 18.24%
21-AUG-87 SELL 2709.50 -04 11-DEC-87 +15 1867.04 842.46 31.09%
11-DEC-87 BUY 1867.04 +15 15-APR-88 -00 2013.93 146.89 7.87%
15-APR-88 SELL 2013.93 -00 27-MAY-88 +09 1956.44 57.49 2.85%
27-MAY-88 BUY 1956.44 +09 05-AUG-88 -01 2119.13 162.69 8.32%
05-AUG-88 SELL 2119.13 -01 02-SEP-88 +12 2054.59 64.54 3.05%
02-SEP-88 BUY 2054.59 +12 03-FEB-89 -02 2331.25 276.66 13.47%
03-FEB-89 SELL 2331.25 -02 31-MAR-89 +14 2293.62 37.63 1.61%
31-MAR-89 BUY 2293.62 +14 22-SEP-89 -02 2681.61 387.99 16.92%
22-SEP-89 SELL 2681.61 -02 20-OCT-89 +13 2689.14 (7.53) -0.28%
20-OCT-89 BUY 2689.14 +13 12-JAN-90 -00 2689.21 0.07 0.00%
12-JAN-90 SELL 2689.21 -00 02-FEB-90 +10 2602.70 86.51 3.22%
02-FEB-90 BUY 2602.70 +10 06-APR-90 -01 2717.12 114.42 4.40%
06-APR-90 SELL 2717.12 -01 04-MAY-90 +03 2710.36 6.76 0.25%
04-MAY-90 BUY 2710.36 +03 08-JUN-90 -00 2862.38 152.02 5.61%
08-JUN-90 SELL 2862.38 -00 19-OCT-90 +10 2520.79 341.59 11.93%
19-OCT-90 BUY 2520.79 +10 12-APR-91 -00 2920.79 400.00 15.87%
12-APR-91 SELL 2920.79 -01 24-MAY-91 +14 2913.91 6.88 0.24%
24-MAY-91 BUY 2913.91 +14 15-NOV-91 -05 2943.20 29.29 1.01%
15-NOV-91 SELL 2943.20 -05 13-DEC-91 +15 2914.36 28.84 0.98%
20-DEC-91 BUY 2934.48 +15 03-JUL-92 -02 3330.29 395.81 13.49%
03-JUL-92 SELL 3330.29 -02 16-OCT-92 +11 3174.41 155.88 4.68%
16-OCT-92 BUY 3174.41 +11 01-JAN-93 -02 3301.11 126.70 3.99%
01-JAN-93 SELL 3301.11 -02 29-JAN-93 +07 3310.03 (8.92) -0.27%
29-JAN-93 BUY 3310.03 +07 02-APR-93 -02 3370.81 60.78 1.84%
02-APR-93 SELL 3370.81 -02 16-JUL-93 +10 3528.29 (157.48) -4.67%
16-JUL-93 BUY 3528.29 +10 17-DEC-93 -02 3751.57 223.28 6.33%
17-DEC-93 SELL 3751.57 -02 15-APR-94 +07 3661.47 90.10 2.40%
15-APR-94 BUY 3661.47 +07 02-SEP-94 -00 3885.58 224.11 6.12%
02-SEP-94 SELL 3885.58 -00 02-DEC-94 +15 3745.62 139.96 3.60%
02-DEC-94 BUY 3745.62 +15 02-JUN-95 -01 4444.35 698.73 18.65%
02-JUN-95 SELL 4444.35 -01 28-JUL-95 +14 4715.51 (271.16) -6.10%
28-JUL-95 BUY 4715.51 +14 03-NOV-95 -00 4825.57 110.06 2.33%
03-NOV-95 SELL 4825.57 -00 19-JAN-96 +05 5184.68 (359.11) -7.44%
19-JAN-96 BUY 5184.68 +05 15-MAR-96 -02 5584.97 400.29 7.72%
15-MAR-96 SELL 5584.97 -02 26-JUL-96 +14 5473.06 111.91 2.00%
26-JUL-96 BUY 5473.06 +14 22-NOV-96 -00 6471.76 998.70 18.25%
22-NOV-96 SELL 6471.76 -00 20-DEC-96 +11 6484.39 (12.63) -0.20%
20-DEC-96 BUY 6484.39 +11 07-MAR-97 -04 7000.89 516.50 7.97%
07-MAR-97 SELL 7000.89 -04 25-APR-97 +11 6703.55 297.34 4.25%
25-APR-97 BUY 6703.55 +11 11-JUL-97 -05 7921.82 1,218.27 18.17%
11-JUL-97 SELL 7921.82 -05 12-SEP-97 +03 7742.97 178.85 2.26%
12-SEP-97 BUY 7742.97 +03 10-OCT-97 -01 8045.21 302.24 3.90%
10-OCT-97 SELL 8045.21 -01 23-JAN-98 +10 7700.74 344.47 4.28%
23-JAN-98 BUY 7700.74 +10 10-APR-98 -01 8994.86 1,294.12 16.81%
10-APR-98 SELL 8994.86 -01 26-JUN-98 +07 8949.78 45.08 0.50%
26-JUN-98 BUY 8944.54 +07 21-AUG-98 -02 8533.65 (410.89) -4.59%
21-AUG-98 SELL 8533.65 -02 25-SEP-98 +15 8028.77 504.88 5.92%
25-SEP-98 BUY 8028.77 +15 27-NOV-98 -03 9333.08 1,304.31 16.25%
27-NOV-98 SELL 9333.08 -03 25-DEC-99 -03 9217.99 115.09 1.23%
25-DEC-98 BUY 9217.99 +06 29-JAN-99 00 9358.83 140.84 1.53%
29-JAN-99 NEUT.9358.83 00 19-FEB-99 -02 9339.95 (18.88) -0.20%
19-FEB-99 SELL 9339.95 -02 11-JUN-99 +14 10491.51(1150.56)-12.32%
11-JUN-99 BUY 10490.51 +14 27-AUG-99 -01 11090.17 599.66 5.72%
27-AUG-99 SELL 11090.17 -01 08-OCT-99 +02 10649.76 440.41 3.97%
08-OCT-99 BUY 10649.76 +02 23-DEC-99 -01 11405.76 756.00 7.10%
24-DEC-99 SELL 11405.76 -01 03-MAR-00 +14 10367.20 1038.56 9.11%
03-MAR-00 BUY 10367.20 +14 22-SEP-00 -03 10847.37 479.77 4.63%
22-SEP-00 SELL 10847.37 -03 03-NOV-00 +03 10817.95 29.42 0.27%
03-NOV-00 BUY 10817.95 +03 19-JAN-01 -01 10587.59 (230.36) -2.13%
19-JAN-01 SELL 10587.59 -01 30-MAR-01 +06 9878.78 708.81 6.69%
30-MAR-01 BUY 9878.78 +06 20-APR-01 -01 10579.85 701.07 7.10%
20-APR-01 SELL 10579.85 -01 20-JUL-01 -03 10576.65 3.20 0.00%
20-JUL-01 BUY 10576.65 +10 26-Apr-02 -08 9910.72 (665.93) -6.30%
26-Apr-02 SELL 9910.72 -08 02-Aug-02 +07 8313.13 1597.58 16.12%
02-Aug-02 BUY 8313.13 +07 18-Oct-02 -06 8322.40 9.27 0.11%
18-Oct-02 SELL 8322.40 -06 10-Jan-03 +01 8784.89 (462.49) -5.56%
10-Jan-03 BUY 8784.89 +01 17-Jan-03 -02 8586.74 (198.15) -2.26%
17-Jan-03 SELL 8586.74 -02 04-Apr-03 +15 8277.15 309.59 3.61%
04-Apr-03 BUY 8277.15 +15 31-Oct-03 -02 9801.12 1523.97 18.41%
31-Oct-03 SELL 9801.12 -02 12-Dec-03 +13 10042.16 (241.04) -2.46%
12-Dec-03 BUY 10042.16 +13 05-Mar-04 -03 10595.55 553.39 5.51%
05-Mar-04 SELL 10595.55 -03 02-Apr-04 +08 10470.59 124.96 1.18%
02-Apr-04 BUY 10470.59 +08 02-Jul-04 -01 10282.00 (188.59) -1.80%
02-Jul-04 SELL 10282.00 -01 20-Aug-04 +14 10110.14 172.69 1.68%
20-Aug-04 BUY 10110.14 +14 04-Mar-05 -02 10940.55 830.41 8.21%
04-Mar-05 SELL 10940.55 -02 29-Apr-05 +12 10192.51 748.04 6.84%
29-Apr-05 BUY 10192.51 +12 22-Jul-05 00 10651.18 458.67 4.50%
22-Jul-05 SELL 10651.18 00 09-Sep-05 +06 10678.56 (27.38) -0.26%
09-Sep-05 BUY 10678.56 +06 14-Oct-05 -02 10287.34 (391.22) -3.66%
14-Oct-05 SELL 10287.37 -02 17-Mar-06 -14 11279.65 (992.31) -9.65%
17-Mar-06 NEUT.11279.65 -14 14-Apr-06 -00 11137.65 (142.00) -1.26%
14-Apr-06 SELL 11137.65 -00 23-Jun-06 +07 10989.09 148.56 1.33%
23-Jun-06 BUY 10989.09 +07 18-Aug-06 -01 11381.47 392.38 3.57%
18-Aug-06 SELL 11381.47 -01 16-Nov-06 -11 12342.56 (961.09) -8.44%
16-Nov-06 NEUT 12342.56 -11 08-Dec-06 +02 12307.49 35.07 0.28%
08-Dec-06 BUY 12307.49 +02 12-JAN-07 -04 12556.08 248.59 2.02%
12-JAN-07 SELL 12556.08 -04 30-Mar-07 +03 12354.35 201.73 1.61%
30-Mar-07 BUY 12354.35 +14 29-Jun-07 -01 13408.62 1054.27 8.53%
29-Jun-07 SELL 13408.62 -01 24-Aug-07 +08 13378.87 29.75 0.22%
24-Aug-07 BUY 13378.87 +08 19-Oct-07 -01 13522.02 143.15 1.07%
19-Oct-07 SELL 13522.02 -01 07-Dec-07 +14 13625.58 (103.56) -0.77%
07-Dec-07 BUY 13625.58 +14 10-Oct-08 00 8451.19(5174.39)-37.98%
10-Oct-08 NEUT 8451.19 00 19-Dec-08 +15 8579.11 129.92 1.52%
19-Dec-08 BUY 8579.11 +15 02-Oct-09 -01 9487.67 908.56 10.59%
02-Oct-09 SELL 9487.67 -01 24-Dec-09 +11 10520.10(1032.43)-10.88%
24-Dec-09 BUY 10520.10 +11 26-Feb-10 -03 10325.26 (194.84) -1.85%
26-Feb-10 SELL 10325.26 -03 02-Apr-10 +06 10927.07 (601.81) -5.83%
02-Apr-10 BUY 10927.07 +06 30-Apr-10 -05 11108.61 81.54 0.75%
30-Apr-10 SELL 11108.61 -05 18-Jun-10 +15 10450.64 557.97 5.07%
18-Jun-10 BUY 10450.64 +15 25-Feb-11 -03 12130.45 1679.81 16.07%
25-Feb-11 SELL 12130.45 -03 29-Apr-11 +09 12810.54 (680.09) -5.61%
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Past performance is not a guarantee of future results. The data contained in Market Edge is obtained from sources considered by Computrade Systems, Inc. to be reliable but the accuracy and completeness thereof are not guaranteed. Computrade Systems, Inc. does not and will not warrant the performance and results that may be obtained while using the Market Edge research service.
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